Spider-Man is suffering from success. Peter Parker has been the most popular Marvel superhero for more than a generation. Even as the Marvel Cinematic Universe elevated the B-and-C-tier names to the major leagues, Spider-Man remained the franchise's icon. Marvel Studios rewarded Peter's success with a stellar introduction in Civil War and an excellent trilogy of solo films. Fans eagerly await a fourth outing, but many Spider-Man 4 pitches fail to understand the character's appeal.

Many of blockbuster cinema's worst issues developed with the death of the home video market. Now that movie studios can't hope to make a dime after the initial theatrical run, those few weekends decide everything. Projects like Spider-Man: No Way Home demonstrate the problems with modern blockbuster marketing. The pauses for applause mark a project designed to work once rather than a piece of art designed to live forever.

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Marvel's Spider-Man 4 Has Two Options

Film

Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Far From Home

Spider-Man: No Way Home

Budget

$175 Million

$160 Million

$200 Million

Box Office Gross

$880.2 Million

$1.132 Billion

$1.922 Billion

Rotten Tomatoes Score

92%

91%

93%

Spider-Man: No Way Home is the highest-grossing Spider-Man movie ever made. It barely fell short of Avengers: Infinity War, despite boasting around half of its budget. The film is the source of a massive argument that will plague Spider-Man for the rest of his on-screen career. Spider-Man remains a shared property between Marvel Studios and Sony Pictures, who will likely fight over the character until the end of time. While the debate likely doesn't break cleanly across studio lines, the IP holders want different things from Spidey. Some want Spider-Man 4 to return to something like Homecoming. They want a grounded story about Peter Parker continuing to develop as a hero and untangling the nightmarish mess he made of his story last time. Others would rather blindly recreate the conditions that made No Way Home a monster hit by bringing Tobey Maguire and Andrew Garfield back for each sequel. Both options have sparked a chorus of fan suggestions for future outings.

Spider-Man 4 Predictions are Unimaginative

Spider-Man - No Way Home (Still Image)

Most who discuss Spider-Man 4 suggest things like the Symbiote saga, Black Cat, or the return of Vincent D'Onofrio's Kingpin. These suggestions feel appropriate in some circumstances. Fans have favorite storylines, prompting them to request Marvel's take on iconic moments. Venom remains the best example. Most viewers agree that Sam Raimi's Spider-Man 3 was a mess. Part of the problem was the forced inclusion of Eddie Brock. Raimi famously wanted Sandman and Vulture to occupy his third entry, but producer and Marvel Studios founder Avi Arad pushed for a bigger name. Venom is an iconic figure who commands a massive fanbase, guaranteeing attention to any film that brings him back. Fans reward this petty profit-seeking strategy with money and success, but superhero fatigue guarantees diminishing returns. Fans have seen Spider-Man so many times in so many situations that dragging classic comic book scenes onto the big screen can't be the only path forward. Especially in a franchise known for doing new things.

Marvel's Spider-Man Movies Have Subverted Expectations

Marvel's Spider-Man trilogy rarely followed the comic books, for better or for worse. Tom Holland's Peter Parker is easily the best of the bunch so far. He captures every element of the character, delivering a perfect take on a comic book icon. The films combine superhero action with John Hughes-inspired high school comedy to create something that feels authentic to Spidey's spirit. While the Marvel movies have problems, they feel like a cohesive narrative exploring everything fans love about Spider-Man. Its biggest issues come from behind-the-scenes business struggles that everyone hates. Despite that tension, Marvel finds unique ways to innovate on classic material.

The villains are often the most important aspect of Spider-Man's stories. They tend to be the catalysts who shape the narrative with their actions. Marvel handled several pre-established Spidey antagonists in No Way Home, but they introduced two new villains in their first two takes. Vulture and Mysterio are engaging subversions of their classic comic book personas. Michael Keaton's Vulture elevates the half-formed concept of a winged bank robber with a fascinating blue-collar backstory. The big reveal stunned fans, demonstrating a rare surprise from a frequently predictable genre. Mysterio, on the other hand, told his story out of order. The character is known for impersonating Spider-Man to ruin the hero's reputation. Far From Homereframed Quentin Beck as a brilliant showman pretending to be everything Peter hopes to become. Both turns represent a clever twist on a character fans have seen before. Spider-Man 4 predictions have to factor in Marvel's impressive desire to subvert expectations and keep familiar faces fresh.

Spider-Man 4 might be a mess. Marvel and Sony remain locked in conflict over the potential direction of the franchise. Fans may struggle through sequels packed with retreads and cynical callbacks. While Tom Holland's next entry in the series stays delayed, devotees should demand something more like Homecoming and Far From Home's unique subversion, grounded storytelling, and clever twists. No Way Home had its moment, but as the title suggests, it doesn't provide Spider-Man with a path back to where he belongs.

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